Will the NDA government in Bihar be replaced this time? The opposition taunts the NDA's lead in surveys. If the media had its way, they would have installed a BJP government without elections!

The first phase of the Bihar Assembly elections will be held on November 6, 2025. Several opinion polls have predicted a clear majority for the NDA. In the poll of polls, the NDA government is also being seen. It predicted 143 seats for NDA, 95 seats for Mahagathbandhan and 5 seats for others. According to the IANS-Matrise survey, the NDA will once again form the government in Bihar. According to the survey, the NDA is likely to get 153-164 seats out of 243 seats in the state, while the Grand Alliance is expected to get 76-87 seats. The BJP is likely to get 83-87 seats. At the same time, JDU is likely to get 61-65 seats, HAM 4-5 seats, Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) 4-5 seats and Upendra Kushwaha's Rashtriya Lok Morcha Party 1-2 seats. As per the survey, the RJD is likely to get 62-66 seats, Congress 7-9, CPM (ML) 6-8, CPI 0-1, CPM (Marxist) 0-1 and VIP 1-2 seats. Among other parties, Asaduddin Owaisi's AIMIM is expected to get 1-2 seats, Prashant Kishor's Jansuraj Party 1-3 seats. According to the opinion poll by Pollstrat, the NDA is likely to get 133 to 143 seats in Bihar. The survey gave the BJP 70 to 72 seats, while the grand alliance of opposition parties 93-102 seats. According to the data, Prashant Kishor's Jan Suraj Party can also open its account in Bihar, which is likely to get one to three seats.
The opinion poll predicted 53-56 seats for the JD (U), 10-12 for the Lok Janshakti Party (Ram Vilas) and 0-2 for the HAM. The survey gave 69-72 seats to RJD, 1 0-1 3 seats to Congress, 1-2 seats to VIP and 0-1 seats to Indian Inclusive Party (IIP). According to the survey of CHANAKYA STRATEGIES, NDA is expected to get more than 130 seats and Mahagathbandhan less than 110 seats, while others can get 5 to 9 seats.